Recently, the Mitt Romney for President campaign came out with a list of its "Idaho Chairpersons." Essentially, it is a "Who's who" of Republican power-brokers, headed by Sen. Larry Craig and Lt. Governor Jim Risch. I've included the link at the bottom of this blog if you want to check it out.
The endorsement makes sense for Idaho's politicians. Romney is more conservative than other frontrunners and his Mormonism is a positive here in Idaho (and I don't buy that his religion is a big negative with non-Mormon conservative republican voters). There is only one problem. There is no way Mitt Romney will be the Republican nominee for President of the United States.
Okay, never say never, but the likely addition of Fred Thompson to the mix will make Thompson the favorite of the conservative Republican primary voters Romney is courting. Romney is also showing signs of a lack of sure-footedness on the national stage. Some criticize him as a political opportunist who seemlessly shifts positions to match the office for which he just happens to be running. As one Christian Conservative told 'Newsweek' magazine, he could see Romney changing positions on one issue, but not 25 issues.
For example, several years ago, Romney professed to being pro-abortion rights and pro-gay rights. It just so happened those are the exact moderate positions a republican candidate needs to take to be elected the Governor of Massachusetts, and he was.
Now, we're learning Romney has changed to a pro-life position, and while he professes to still believes in gay rights, he does not support gay marriage. It just so happens those are the exact positions a republican candidate needs to take to appeal to conservative voters in the Presidential primary process.
Shifting positions is not fatal in politics. Bill Clinton was elected President twice in spite of his "Slick Willie" reputation on some issues. But for a man already facing great odds, Romney can't afford to spend so much time explaining flip-flops. Add in the conservative groundswell for Thompson, and Romney will fade from view.
And there's something else. In talking with Republican friends across the nation, I sense they are looking for something else (and full disclosure, I am a Republican, but we also do have a wide range of political perspectives in our newsroom). A visionary over an idealogue. Principle over political positions. A candidate with the qualities that seem strikingly like those of Ronald Reagan.
The classic line about Reagan was "I don't always agree with him, but I know where he stands." That's not to say that Reagan was not a pragmatist. He was, something that separates him from President Bush. Reagan put US troops in Beirut until a terrorist bombing convinced him to bring those troops home. Bush stays the course and even 'surges' in Iraq. Reagan talked directly with the 'evil empire' Soviets. Bush refuses to talk directly with the nations he calls the 'axis of evil.'
In other words, Reagan was steadfast and consistent, but he was no idealogue. He was a leader with vision.
So who in the Republican field best fits that mold? It's not McCain, who also seems to be pandering a bit too hard to the party's right wing with little effect. It isn't Fred Thompson, who shares Reagan's background as an actor but doesn't seem to have his political instincts or broad appeal beyond conservatives. A speech Thompson gave two weeks ago was hailed by conservatives but panned by pretty much everyone else.
The man who best fits the Reagan mold is of all people, Rudy Giuliani. Gutsy, determined, steadfast even if you don't agree his positions on issues like abortion, and certainly someone who has shown the qualities of a leader. Giuliani has lots of warts. His debating skill is suspect, his temper can flare, and he has hard time keeping track of how many times he's been married. But look at the polls and also at what our "Predict 6" panel thinks, and it is pretty clear he is the man to beat right now. Romney can raise money, but he hasn't captivated voters like Giuliani has.
There are athose who insist a pro-choice candidate cannot survive the Republican nomination process, but Rudy got one huge break. The new primary calendar favors him. He'll likely win New Hampshire in January to maintain momentum, and New York, Florida and California look to be virtual locks on February 5th, giving him more than 400 delegates. It would be a minor miracle for any other candidate in a crowded field to overcome that.
Giuliani's success to date also reveals just how isolated Idaho might become from the mainstream of the Republican party and the rest of the nation. Some consider that a good thing, but it really isn't. Idaho will have virtually no influence on issues important to this state if we are perceived as being out on the fringe in the future.
Which brings me back to Reagan. Reagan was also a gifted compromiser and negotiator. He compromised and negotiated with the Democratic Congress because he respected the will of the American people, and he understood that's what leaders do in the democratic process. If Rudy Giuliani does indeed become the Republican nominee, I'll be curious to see if Idaho's political leaders are capable of showing true leadership by falling in line behind him for the good of the party, the state and the nation.
Here's the link on Romney's campaign.
http://kivitv.com/Global/story.asp?s=6555022